The Cubs are expected to win the World Series every year. So I exaggerated it but Cubs fans have their hopes and dreams set on this team every year and the team always stinks it up. They are consistenly overvalued by 13 points over the past 7 seasons. Betting against them is MONEY. Since betting odds in baseball have a lot to do with pitching, the pitchers in Chicago command great odds. The problem with that philosophy is that the team still blows. Four years ago, they were -48 units about 30 points overvalued. In this day and age, that is ridiculous. I recommend all of you to look for spots to bet against these Cubs. They are just too overvalued by Vegas. They are overvalued the most at home. They are a total -80 units over the past 4 seasons at home as a favorite. I like to look for motivated, streaking road underdogs playing these Cubs. 6 of the past 7 seasons saw gamblers win large going against the Cubs as a home favorite. We expect the 2006 season to be no different. Bettors will always love to bet on the Cubs especially at home. We take the contrarian position because that is where the value lies. |
